Aryna Sabalenka vs Anastasia Potapova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How proficient are the players in winning points on their second serve? Recently, Potapova has a slight edge, winning 42.89% compared to Sabalenka's 39.54%.
• In terms of returning opponents' second serves, Sabalenka has a slight advantage with a 50% success rate, while Potapova's success rate is 48.85%.
• When returning first serves, Potapova leads slightly, winning 30.65% of points, over Sabalenka's 29.53%.
• Pressure management is crucial. Potapova has saved 55.25% of breakpoints, outperforming Sabalenka's 51.2%.
• Overall match-winning percentages favor Sabalenka significantly, as she has won 83.75% of her matches over the past year compared to Potapova's 60.78%.
• Which playing surface suits each player best? Sabalenka excels on Hard courts with a 74% win rate, whereas Potapova performs best on Indoor Hard with a 67% win rate.
• In terms of competition level, Sabalenka has played primarily in Masters events with an 83.33% win rate, while Potapova has a 69.57% win rate on the Main tour.
• They have faced each other once, with Sabalenka emerging victorious by winning both sets.
• Sabalenka has competed against more highly ranked opponents, with an average rank of 36.45, compared to Potapova's 64.27.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Sabalenka has a slightly better chance, winning 59% of such sets compared to Potapova's 56%.
• Break point opportunities show Potapova converts slightly better at 43.51% over Sabalenka's 34.98%.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

Considering the current form and historical data, Sabalenka appears to have an upper hand due to her higher overall match win percentage and experience against stronger opponents. Her success at the Masters level further demonstrates her ability to perform under varied competitive pressures.

Although Potapova holds a slight edge in second serve performance and critical conversion points, Sabalenka's record against higher-ranked players may give her a decisive advantage.

With the head-to-head record favoring Sabalenka and her demonstrated proficiency on Hard courts, it is predicted that she is the more likely winner in the upcoming match.